Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Larkin 52.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 68.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 70.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 68.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Cozens
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cozens
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Cozens
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Cozens
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
51.8% (903)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
56.0% (225)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
47.4% (76)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Cozens
Larkin
Home
43.9% (410)
55.6% (662)
Away
47.2% (430)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Cozens
Larkin
P1
46.4%
49.9%
P2
41.6%
52.7%
P3
49.4%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |