Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Larkin 52.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 30-26 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 63.6%
Defensive zone
Cozens 63.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 63.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Cozens
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
30
(56 meetings)
26
30
Cozens
Larkin
Last 10: Cozens 8-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
14
Cozens
Larkin
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
11
12
Cozens
Larkin
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
5
4
Cozens
Larkin
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
51.7% (9,019)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
58.5% (2,125)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
50.2% (1,122)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Home / Away
Cozens
Larkin
Home
48.2% (2,677)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Cozens
Larkin
P1
49.1%
52.7%
P2
47.7%
53.1%
P3
48.8%
52.1%
OT
34.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 00:37 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |