Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Larkin 54.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 61.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 61.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Cozens
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Cozens
Larkin
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
7
Cozens
Larkin
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
3
Cozens
Larkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
53.6% (886)
-4.2%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
59.3% (317)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
48.7% (152)
-9.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Cozens
Larkin
Home
49.0% (600)
56.6% (700)
Away
47.6% (574)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Cozens
Larkin
P1
46.5%
55.4%
P2
52.9%
54.7%
P3
45.2%
52.7%
OT
53.8%
59.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |