Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Larkin 55.0% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 50.6%
Defensive zone
Cozens 54.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 50.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Cozens
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cozens
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Cozens
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
55.9% (943)
-9.2%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
57.4% (244)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
46.2% (106)
-3.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Cozens
Larkin
Home
46.2% (567)
56.0% (654)
Away
44.9% (579)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Cozens
Larkin
P1
46.5%
54.4%
P2
46.5%
55.9%
P3
44.2%
55.2%
OT
22.2%
64.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |