Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Larkin 54.2% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 69.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 69.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 69.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Cozens
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Cozens
Larkin
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
6
Cozens
Larkin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
5
Cozens
Larkin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Cozens
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
52.6% (1,117)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
60.7% (305)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
55.9% (177)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Cozens
Larkin
Home
49.5% (638)
54.7% (783)
Away
51.9% (522)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Cozens
Larkin
P1
51.9%
55.9%
P2
46.4%
56.1%
P3
54.2%
51.1%
OT
16.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |