Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs McCarron 54.9% (-11.1%)
Offensive zone
Cozens 70.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 60.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Cozens
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
62.8% (86)
-13.4%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
50.0% (2)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
44.4% (18)
-4.9%
On even strength, McCarron has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. McCarron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Cozens
McCarron
Home
49.0% (600)
59.5% (42)
Away
47.6% (574)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Cozens
McCarron
P1
46.5%
71.0%
P2
52.9%
48.7%
P3
45.2%
61.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%