Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs McCarron 54.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 77.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 87.3%
Neutral zone
McCarron 57.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Cozens
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cozens
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Cozens
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
54.2% (756)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
55.6% (9)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
55.1% (158)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Cozens
McCarron
Home
49.5% (638)
54.6% (445)
Away
51.9% (522)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Cozens
McCarron
P1
51.9%
53.6%
P2
46.4%
55.6%
P3
54.2%
53.7%
OT
16.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |