Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Dowd 53.3% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 72.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Cozens
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cozens
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
55.4% (771)
-9.8%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
57.1% (7)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
45.5% (165)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Cozens
Dowd
Home
43.9% (410)
58.2% (462)
Away
47.2% (430)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Cozens
Dowd
P1
46.4%
55.6%
P2
41.6%
50.5%
P3
49.4%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |