Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Zacha 46.5% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 67.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 61.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Cozens
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Zacha
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Cozens
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
45.3% (247)
+4.1%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
58.1% (31)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
22.2% (18)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zacha
Home
49.0% (600)
39.7% (131)
Away
47.6% (574)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Cozens
Zacha
P1
46.5%
42.9%
P2
52.9%
46.4%
P3
45.2%
42.3%
OT
53.8%
87.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |