Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Zacha 54.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 60.3%
Defensive zone
Cozens 72.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 68.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Cozens
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cozens
Zacha
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Cozens
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Cozens
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Cozens
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
53.9% (787)
-7.2%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
63.2% (193)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
44.3% (88)
-2.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zacha
Home
46.2% (567)
56.7% (538)
Away
44.9% (579)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Cozens
Zacha
P1
46.5%
52.6%
P2
46.5%
54.8%
P3
44.2%
56.8%
OT
22.2%
59.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |