Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.1% vs Zacha 51.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 69.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 67.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Cozens
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Cozens
Zacha
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cozens
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Cozens
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (518)
53.7% (497)
-0.8%
Power Play
59.5% (79)
54.8% (84)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.5% (64)
-4.2%
On power play, Cozens has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cozens is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Cozens shoots right. Zacha is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zacha
Home
54.1% (331)
51.0% (335)
Away
52.9% (272)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Cozens
Zacha
P1
56.3%
60.0%
P2
51.0%
48.1%
P3
54.1%
48.8%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
53.6%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |