Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 49.1%). Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Zacha 49.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 27-18 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 54.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 52.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 54.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Cozens
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
27
(45 meetings)
18
27
Cozens
Zacha
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
7
11
Cozens
Zacha
18 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Cozens
Zacha
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
7
Cozens
Zacha
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
48.9% (5,102)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
55.6% (804)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
42.2% (555)
-1.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zacha
Home
48.2% (2,677)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Cozens
Zacha
P1
49.1%
49.9%
P2
47.7%
49.2%
P3
48.8%
48.1%
OT
34.3%
53.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |