Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Zacha 52.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 52.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 56.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Cozens
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Cozens
Zacha
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Cozens
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
2
Cozens
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Cozens
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
54.1% (534)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
56.0% (109)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
44.8% (96)
-2.4%
On power play, Zacha has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zacha
Home
49.5% (638)
53.4% (406)
Away
51.9% (522)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Cozens
Zacha
P1
51.9%
56.8%
P2
46.4%
53.6%
P3
54.2%
49.2%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.6%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |