Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.5%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.0% vs Larkin 49.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Goodrow leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 74.6%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 51.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Goodrow
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Goodrow
Larkin
Last 10: Goodrow 7-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
3
Goodrow
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
1
Goodrow
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
4
1
Goodrow
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (165)
49.5% (562)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
51.5% (134)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (152)
41.2% (34)
+5.5%
On power play, Goodrow has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Goodrow is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Goodrow shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Larkin
Home
48.3% (149)
48.5% (388)
Away
51.4% (175)
50.6% (342)
By Period
Goodrow
Larkin
P1
52.6%
52.1%
P2
43.2%
46.9%
P3
53.0%
49.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |