Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Luostarinen 41.1% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Luostarinen leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 56.9%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 77.3%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 69.4%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Larkin
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Larkin
Luostarinen
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
0
1
Larkin
Luostarinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
3
4
Larkin
Luostarinen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Luostarinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
41.1% (708)
+10.7%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.0% (10)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
29.8% (84)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Luostarinen is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Larkin
Luostarinen
Home
55.6% (662)
38.8% (402)
Away
48.3% (542)
41.3% (400)
By Period
Larkin
Luostarinen
P1
49.9%
40.7%
P2
52.7%
42.9%
P3
53.0%
36.2%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |