Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Luostarinen 47.2% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 78.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 73.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Larkin
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Larkin
Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Luostarinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
0
1
Larkin
Luostarinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Luostarinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
48.2% (56)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
36.4% (11)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
30.8% (13)
+17.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Luostarinen is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Larkin
Luostarinen
Home
52.4% (647)
40.7% (27)
Away
52.7% (643)
45.3% (53)
By Period
Larkin
Luostarinen
P1
52.2%
47.8%
P2
53.1%
39.1%
P3
51.7%
42.4%
OT
61.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |