Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Luostarinen 52.3% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 56.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.6%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 54.0%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Larkin
Luostarinen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
53.6% (153)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
45.5% (11)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
60.0% (15)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Luostarinen has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Luostarinen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Larkin
Luostarinen
Home
56.0% (654)
53.3% (92)
Away
54.8% (639)
54.0% (87)
By Period
Larkin
Luostarinen
P1
54.4%
52.2%
P2
55.9%
49.1%
P3
55.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
62.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.6%