Dylan Larkin vs Eetu Luostarinen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Luostarinen 44.2% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 72.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 61.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 64.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Larkin
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
20
(41 meetings)
21
20
Larkin
Luostarinen
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
6
Larkin
Luostarinen
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
6
11
Larkin
Luostarinen
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
3
Larkin
Luostarinen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
44.7% (1,748)
+7.0%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
41.7% (60)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
38.0% (205)
+12.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,335).
Home / Away
Larkin
Luostarinen
Home
54.0% (6,238)
44.7% (1,006)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
43.1% (1,007)
By Period
Larkin
Luostarinen
P1
52.7%
43.4%
P2
53.1%
45.3%
P3
52.1%
43.0%
OT
58.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |