Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Luostarinen 43.4% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 76.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 65.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Larkin
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Larkin
Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Luostarinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Luostarinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
41.4% (365)
+12.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
46.7% (15)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
44.7% (38)
+4.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Larkin
Luostarinen
Home
56.6% (700)
41.5% (207)
Away
52.1% (655)
42.2% (211)
By Period
Larkin
Luostarinen
P1
55.4%
38.2%
P2
54.7%
44.9%
P3
52.7%
42.9%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |