Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.9%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Lindholm 52.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 64.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 52.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Larkin
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Larkin
Lindholm
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
5
Larkin
Lindholm
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
3
Larkin
Lindholm
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Lindholm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
52.4% (1,156)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
59.6% (198)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
49.6% (238)
-2.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lindholm
Home
55.6% (662)
52.3% (771)
Away
48.3% (542)
53.5% (821)
By Period
Larkin
Lindholm
P1
49.9%
50.7%
P2
52.7%
55.3%
P3
53.0%
54.0%
OT
68.0%
29.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |