Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Lindholm 55.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 63.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 51.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 63.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Larkin
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Larkin
Lindholm
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
8
Larkin
Lindholm
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
57.3% (944)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
61.1% (162)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
49.1% (230)
-2.9%
On power play, Lindholm has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lindholm
Home
56.0% (654)
55.2% (667)
Away
54.8% (639)
57.5% (669)
By Period
Larkin
Lindholm
P1
54.4%
54.7%
P2
55.9%
55.5%
P3
55.2%
58.5%
OT
64.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 10, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |