Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Lindholm 55.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 60.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Larkin
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Larkin
Lindholm
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
5
Larkin
Lindholm
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Lindholm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Larkin
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
57.7% (1,124)
-4.1%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
52.9% (155)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
48.6% (259)
+0.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lindholm
Home
56.6% (700)
55.7% (760)
Away
52.1% (655)
55.8% (778)
By Period
Larkin
Lindholm
P1
55.4%
53.7%
P2
54.7%
58.3%
P3
52.7%
55.1%
OT
59.1%
59.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |