Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Haula 50.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 65.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Larkin
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Larkin
Haula
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
2
Larkin
Haula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
2
Larkin
Haula
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Haula
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
50.0% (704)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
55.4% (74)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
44.1% (59)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Larkin
Haula
Home
52.4% (647)
48.6% (426)
Away
52.7% (643)
51.6% (411)
By Period
Larkin
Haula
P1
52.2%
52.2%
P2
53.1%
51.5%
P3
51.7%
46.7%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Erik Haula |