Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Haula 53.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Larkin
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larkin
Haula
Last 6: Larkin 3-3 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
3
Larkin
Haula
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
52.7% (734)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
71.4% (49)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
52.2% (23)
-4.8%
On power play, Haula has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Haula is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Larkin
Haula
Home
55.6% (662)
54.0% (404)
Away
48.3% (542)
53.7% (402)
By Period
Larkin
Haula
P1
49.9%
50.8%
P2
52.7%
55.0%
P3
53.0%
55.1%
OT
68.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |