Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Haula 52.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 61.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 56.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.4%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Larkin
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Larkin
Haula
Last 5: Larkin 1-4 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Haula
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
4
Larkin
Haula
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Haula
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
52.9% (612)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
56.3% (32)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
48.0% (75)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Larkin
Haula
Home
54.7% (783)
54.2% (345)
Away
54.3% (816)
51.1% (374)
By Period
Larkin
Haula
P1
55.9%
55.8%
P2
56.1%
48.0%
P3
51.1%
54.1%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Erik Haula |