Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.4%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 30 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Haula 52.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 45-44 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 53.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Larkin
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
45
(89 meetings)
44
45
Larkin
Haula
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
14
17
Larkin
Haula
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
17
13
Larkin
Haula
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
13
15
Larkin
Haula
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
52.9% (7,683)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
57.5% (603)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
43.5% (791)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Home / Away
Larkin
Haula
Home
54.0% (6,238)
53.4% (4,478)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
51.3% (4,599)
By Period
Larkin
Haula
P1
52.7%
53.2%
P2
53.1%
51.4%
P3
52.1%
52.7%
OT
58.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Erik Haula |