Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.2%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Haula 53.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 57.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Larkin
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Larkin
Haula
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
2
Larkin
Haula
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
5
Larkin
Haula
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
54.5% (881)
-0.9%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
68.4% (57)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
45.4% (119)
+3.3%
On power play, Haula has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Larkin
Haula
Home
56.6% (700)
55.4% (520)
Away
52.1% (655)
53.1% (537)
By Period
Larkin
Haula
P1
55.4%
56.5%
P2
54.7%
53.3%
P3
52.7%
53.8%
OT
59.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Erik Haula |