Dylan Larkin vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 92.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 85.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Larkin
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Larkin
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Larkin
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
45.0% (389)
+6.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
31.8% (22)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
37.6% (125)
+10.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Larkin
Gaudreau
Home
52.4% (647)
42.6% (277)
Away
52.7% (643)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Larkin
Gaudreau
P1
52.2%
43.8%
P2
53.1%
44.8%
P3
51.7%
39.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |