Dylan Larkin vs Frederick Gaudreau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Gaudreau 50.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 58.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 68.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 63.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Larkin
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Larkin
Gaudreau
Last 7: Larkin 2-5 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Larkin
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
3
Larkin
Gaudreau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Larkin
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
49.1% (733)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
60.0% (80)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
48.6% (109)
-1.2%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Larkin
Gaudreau
Home
55.6% (662)
53.0% (483)
Away
48.3% (542)
46.7% (439)
By Period
Larkin
Gaudreau
P1
49.9%
53.5%
P2
52.7%
47.5%
P3
53.0%
49.5%
OT
68.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |