Dylan Larkin vs Frederick Gaudreau
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Gaudreau 48.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 57.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 51.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 56.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Larkin
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larkin
Gaudreau
Last 6: Larkin 3-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Gaudreau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
2
Larkin
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
48.4% (320)
+4.5%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
33.3% (3)
+29.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Larkin shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Larkin
Gaudreau
Home
55.8% (805)
46.4% (151)
Away
53.2% (782)
50.0% (172)
By Period
Larkin
Gaudreau
P1
55.2%
45.6%
P2
53.3%
48.0%
P3
55.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |