Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Lundeström 45.0% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 86.3%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 57.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 64.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Larkin
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Lundeström
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Lundeström
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
2
Larkin
Lundeström
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
45.2% (785)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
55.6% (9)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
36.5% (85)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lundeström
Home
55.6% (662)
45.8% (428)
Away
48.3% (542)
43.2% (451)
By Period
Larkin
Lundeström
P1
49.9%
48.6%
P2
52.7%
46.5%
P3
53.0%
37.8%
OT
68.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |