Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Lundeström 45.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 83.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Larkin
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Lundeström
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
47.8% (278)
+8.1%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
31.3% (16)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
34.8% (92)
+11.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lundeström
Home
56.0% (654)
46.3% (190)
Away
54.8% (639)
41.8% (196)
By Period
Larkin
Lundeström
P1
54.4%
40.2%
P2
55.9%
44.3%
P3
55.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |