Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Lundeström 47.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 78.4%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 54.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Larkin
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Larkin
Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Lundeström
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
2
Larkin
Lundeström
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
47.5% (554)
+6.1%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
57.1% (7)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
46.3% (41)
+2.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Lundeström is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lundeström
Home
56.6% (700)
47.4% (266)
Away
52.1% (655)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Larkin
Lundeström
P1
55.4%
54.5%
P2
54.7%
44.4%
P3
52.7%
44.6%
OT
59.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |