Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.1%). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Lundeström 52.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Larkin
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Lundeström
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
53.6% (209)
-1.9%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
50.0% (4)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
50.0% (26)
-1.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Lundeström is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lundeström
Home
52.4% (647)
50.0% (136)
Away
52.7% (643)
57.3% (103)
By Period
Larkin
Lundeström
P1
52.2%
53.2%
P2
53.1%
54.8%
P3
51.7%
51.9%
OT
61.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |