Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Lundeström 47.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 97.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 77.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Larkin
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Larkin
Lundeström
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
0
Larkin
Lundeström
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
3
Larkin
Lundeström
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Lundeström
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
50.3% (626)
+2.3%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
60.0% (10)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
40.3% (300)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lundeström
Home
54.7% (783)
48.4% (504)
Away
54.3% (816)
45.8% (432)
By Period
Larkin
Lundeström
P1
55.9%
50.2%
P2
56.1%
43.5%
P3
51.1%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |