Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Hughes 38.0% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 80.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 88.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 87.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Larkin
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Larkin
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
34.5% (342)
+17.3%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
42.9% (7)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
25.0% (4)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hughes
Home
55.6% (662)
32.6% (187)
Away
48.3% (542)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Larkin
Hughes
P1
49.9%
33.9%
P2
52.7%
34.2%
P3
53.0%
36.5%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |