Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Hughes 39.8% (+16.4%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 76.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Larkin
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
36.8% (266)
+14.9%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
14.3% (7)
+44.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
33.3% (6)
+14.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hughes
Home
52.4% (647)
35.1% (148)
Away
52.7% (643)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Larkin
Hughes
P1
52.2%
43.0%
P2
53.1%
28.7%
P3
51.7%
35.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%