Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Roslovic 40.7% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 56.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 60.8%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 50.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Larkin
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Larkin
Roslovic
Last 8: Larkin 4-4 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Roslovic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
2
Larkin
Roslovic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Roslovic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
38.6% (542)
+10.9%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
44.2% (43)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
50.0% (8)
-8.8%
On even strength, Larkin has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Larkin is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Larkin shoots left. Roslovic is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (443).
Home / Away
Larkin
Roslovic
Home
48.5% (388)
39.6% (293)
Away
50.6% (342)
38.7% (300)
By Period
Larkin
Roslovic
P1
52.1%
40.0%
P2
46.9%
34.7%
P3
49.2%
42.2%
OT
55.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
34.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |