Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.1%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Roslovic 53.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 50.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 61.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Larkin
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Larkin
Roslovic
Last 7: Larkin 5-2 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Roslovic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Roslovic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
1
Larkin
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
55.2% (299)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
49.1% (55)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
0.0% (1)
+55.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Roslovic is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Larkin
Roslovic
Home
54.7% (783)
54.0% (200)
Away
54.3% (816)
54.2% (155)
By Period
Larkin
Roslovic
P1
55.9%
57.0%
P2
56.1%
54.3%
P3
51.1%
50.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |