Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Roslovic 44.2% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 77.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 72.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Larkin
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Larkin
Roslovic
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Roslovic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Roslovic
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Roslovic
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
42.9% (739)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
54.8% (84)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
28.1% (32)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Larkin
Roslovic
Home
55.6% (662)
41.6% (442)
Away
48.3% (542)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Larkin
Roslovic
P1
49.9%
44.9%
P2
52.7%
43.8%
P3
53.0%
41.8%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |