Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Roslovic 45.1% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 23-19 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 82.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 74.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Larkin
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
19
(42 meetings)
23
19
Larkin
Roslovic
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
6
7
Larkin
Roslovic
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
7
Larkin
Roslovic
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
5
Larkin
Roslovic
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
44.9% (2,997)
+6.8%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
48.1% (339)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
34.3% (105)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Home / Away
Larkin
Roslovic
Home
54.0% (6,238)
44.0% (1,737)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
45.8% (1,704)
By Period
Larkin
Roslovic
P1
52.7%
45.5%
P2
53.1%
44.6%
P3
52.1%
44.9%
OT
58.4%
31.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |