Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Roslovic 45.5% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 68.8%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 77.9%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 77.4%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Larkin
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Larkin
Roslovic
Last 8: Larkin 2-6 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
3
Larkin
Roslovic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
2
Larkin
Roslovic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Roslovic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
45.8% (729)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
42.9% (105)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
38.2% (55)
+10.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Larkin
Roslovic
Home
56.6% (700)
45.4% (447)
Away
52.1% (655)
44.6% (442)
By Period
Larkin
Roslovic
P1
55.4%
43.2%
P2
54.7%
44.7%
P3
52.7%
47.2%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |