Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Roslovic 46.0% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 89.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Larkin
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Larkin
Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Roslovic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
44.3% (106)
+11.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
46.2% (13)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
14.3% (7)
+31.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Roslovic is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Larkin
Roslovic
Home
56.0% (654)
36.9% (65)
Away
54.8% (639)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Larkin
Roslovic
P1
54.4%
32.1%
P2
55.9%
50.0%
P3
55.2%
46.2%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |