Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Guentzel 50.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 80.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 64.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Larkin
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
45.0% (20)
+6.8%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
75.0% (4)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
100.0% (1)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Larkin
Guentzel
Home
55.6% (662)
56.3% (16)
Away
48.3% (542)
44.4% (9)
By Period
Larkin
Guentzel
P1
49.9%
20.0%
P2
52.7%
57.1%
P3
53.0%
80.0%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | OT | 02:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |