Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Guentzel 50.0% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 51.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 73.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Larkin
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
46.2% (13)
+7.4%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
100.0% (2)
-40.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
0.0% (1)
+48.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Guentzel is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Larkin
Guentzel
Home
56.6% (700)
75.0% (8)
Away
52.1% (655)
25.0% (8)
By Period
Larkin
Guentzel
P1
55.4%
62.5%
P2
54.7%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
50.0%