Dylan Larkin vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Pageau 55.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 55.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Larkin
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Larkin
Pageau
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
3
Larkin
Pageau
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Larkin
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Larkin
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
55.8% (1,000)
-4.0%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
56.6% (182)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
51.2% (170)
-3.8%
On even strength, Pageau has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Larkin
Pageau
Home
55.6% (662)
57.1% (674)
Away
48.3% (542)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Larkin
Pageau
P1
49.9%
56.9%
P2
52.7%
54.5%
P3
53.0%
54.7%
OT
68.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |