Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Eller 55.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 53.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Larkin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Larkin
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
56.5% (434)
-4.8%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
77.8% (9)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
56.5% (46)
-8.3%
On power play, Eller has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Larkin
Eller
Home
52.4% (647)
53.1% (211)
Away
52.7% (643)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Larkin
Eller
P1
52.2%
55.4%
P2
53.1%
58.1%
P3
51.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |