Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Eller 49.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Larkin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Larkin
Eller
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
3
Larkin
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
51.1% (786)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
45.0% (80)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
43.6% (165)
+3.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Larkin
Eller
Home
55.6% (662)
51.2% (510)
Away
48.3% (542)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Larkin
Eller
P1
49.9%
50.7%
P2
52.7%
49.0%
P3
53.0%
48.3%
OT
68.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |