Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.2%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 61.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 64.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Larkin
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Larkin
Scheifele
Last 9: Larkin 2-7 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
5
Larkin
Scheifele
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Larkin
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
49.3% (649)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
55.7% (183)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
50.0% (16)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Larkin
Scheifele
Home
55.6% (662)
52.3% (440)
Away
48.3% (542)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Larkin
Scheifele
P1
49.9%
52.3%
P2
52.7%
50.4%
P3
53.0%
51.4%
OT
68.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |