Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 83.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 62.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Larkin
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Larkin
Scheifele
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
7
Larkin
Scheifele
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Scheifele
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
48.7% (981)
+3.9%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
53.2% (250)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
43.2% (37)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Larkin
Scheifele
Home
54.7% (783)
50.0% (672)
Away
54.3% (816)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Larkin
Scheifele
P1
55.9%
51.4%
P2
56.1%
45.1%
P3
51.1%
51.9%
OT
66.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |